the sentence2026-09-21 11:14Z
SOL runs into the weekend, I want to be long but I can't watch it, keep the risk small
Ticketlong swing
Long SOL swing, days, small risk
longSOLlong swingdirectionaldays-$50 / +$75structure: code| metric | value |
|---|---|
| max loss | $49.91 |
| deployable / total | $10,000 (nominal) |
| funding / day | -$0.18 |
| loss at stop | $49.93 |
| gap through stop | $74.90 |
| best case | +$74.90 1.50R |
| worst case | -$49.93 -1.00R |
| R:R at tp1 / tp2 | 1.00 / 2.00 |
| structure fit | code |
Proposed transactions
1longSOLperp$540.974.63 @ 116.841x cross
- notional
- $540.97
- qty
- 4.63
- entry
- 116.84 market
- stop
- 106.06 +9.23%
- tp 1
- 127.62 +9.23% · ½
- tp 2
- 138.41 +18.46% · ½
- lev
- 1x cross
- funding/d
- -$0.18
- liq px
- –
This asset right now
mid116.49
24h+7.83%
7d+14.49%
atr 1h1.26%
range 48h95.69%
funding apr+11.81%longs pay
open interest$707.8M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
3top of rangegap riskno wallet
hold at tp1+$49.939.23% move
ticket at tp1+$24.9750.00% of size
delta-$24.97ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
"structure": "swing",
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"legs": [
{
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 540.97,
"qty": 4.63,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entry": {
"type": "market",
"px": 116.84
},
"stop": {
"px": 106.06,
"pct": 9.23
},
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 127.62,
"pct": 9.23,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 138.41,
"pct": 18.46,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (9.2% from the 117 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
],
"riskUsd": 49.91,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"horizon": "days",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.18,
"warnings": [
"Price is at the top of its 30-day range. Buying here is buying strength - the stop is far from the nearest support.",
"A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
],
"components": [
{
"type": "ticket_header",
"props": {
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"structure": "swing",
"view": "directional",
"horizon": "days",
"structureFit": null
}
},
{
"type": "market_strip",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 116.49,
"atrPct1h": 1.2566,
"fundingApr": 11.81,
"ret24hPct": 7.83,
"ret7dPct": 14.49,
"rangePos48h": 0.9569,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.1559
}
},
{
"type": "leg_row",
"props": {
"index": 0,
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 540.97,
"qty": 4.63,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entryType": "market",
"entryPx": 116.84,
"stopPx": 106.06,
"stopPct": 9.23,
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 127.62,
"pct": 9.23,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 138.41,
"pct": 18.46,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (9.2% from the 117 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
},
{
"type": "risk_box",
"props": {
"riskUsd": 49.91,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"riskLabel": "max loss",
"maxLossNote": "The stop at 106 is 9.2% from the 117 entry and costs about $49.91 if it fills (4.63 x the 117-106 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $540.97; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.18
}
},
{
"type": "compare_hold",
"props": {
"note": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.91 (0.50% of a nominal. $540.97 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "near_30d_high",
"text": "Price is at the top of its 30-day range. Buying here is buying strength - the stop is far from the nearest support.",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "gap_risk_stops",
"text": "A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"severity": "warn"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "nominal_account_assumed",
"text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "hl_link",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/SOL"
}
}
],
"market": {
"SOL": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 116.49,
"markPx": 116.49,
"fundingApr": 11.8090932,
"oiUsd": 707802093.2399994,
"vol24hUsd": 353585555.2233003,
"maxLeverage": 20,
"szDecimals": 2,
"atrPct1h": 1.256630850841243,
"ret24hPct": 7.8311580116634305,
"ret7dPct": 14.486486486486472,
"rangePos48h": 0.95688748685594,
"hi30d": 116.9,
"lo30d": 87.688,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.1559113062988161,
"asOf": 1789989287236,
"dex": null
},
"BTC": {
"coin": "BTC",
"mid": 84643,
"markPx": 84643,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 3606538950.5324316,
"vol24hUsd": 3200772255.6443715,
"maxLeverage": 40,
"szDecimals": 5,
"atrPct1h": 0.9031091780446643,
"ret24hPct": 5.340252887295893,
"ret7dPct": 8.70201754273312,
"rangePos48h": 0.8398729446935725,
"hi30d": 85500,
"lo30d": 74903,
"betaToBtc30d": 1,
"asOf": 1789989287236,
"dex": null
}
},
"reader": {
"structureConfidence": -1,
"alternatives": [],
"trace": {
"ms": 266,
"input_tokens": 703,
"answers": {
"warn_near_30d_high": {
"value": 0.88,
"confidence": 0.88
},
"warn_gap_risk_stops": {
"value": 0.94,
"confidence": 0.94
}
}
}
},
"numbersBy": "code",
"compare": {
"holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.91 (0.50% of a nominal. $540.97 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
}Stats
atr 1d6.16%
vs 30d high-0.35%116.9
vs 30d low+32.85%87.688
beta btc-0.16
vol 24h$353.59M
vol / oi0.50
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes2 of 3 rungs
SOL116.47 → 118.66
ticket p&l+$9.65of risk+19.33%hold the same net exposure+$10.17versus hold-$0.52fees-$0.49funding-$0.03
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $540.97 | 116.47 | 118.66 | +$9.68 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
SOL116.47 → 116.99
ticket p&l+$1.75of risk+3.51%hold the same net exposure+$2.42versus hold-$0.67fees-$0.49funding-$0.18
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $540.97 | 116.47 | 116.99 | +$1.93 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
7dprovisional2026-09-21 11:14Z → 2026-09-22 20:09Zunsigned
SOL116.47 → 118.06
ticket p&l+$6.62of risk+13.27%hold the same net exposure+$7.36versus hold-$0.74fees-$0.49funding-$0.25
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $540.97 | 116.47 | 118.06 | +$6.87 | time |
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 32.92h, not the 7d deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts3 signed