thesis terminal

one thesis, the ticket code priced for it, and what happened next

the sentence2026-09-20 01:32Z
Like I say to you - "cashcat on the 4h ema200, looks oversold," worth a punt rn.
Ticketlong scalp

Long CASHCAT scalp, hours, normal risk

longCASHCATlong scalpdirectionalhoursstructure: code
metricvalue
max loss$99.97
deployable / total$10,000 (nominal)
funding / day-$0.42
loss at stop$100.00
gap through stop$150.00
R:R at tp1 / tp21.00 / 2.00
structure fitcode
reader665 ms
Proposed transactions
#sidecoinkindnotionalqtyleventrystoptp 1tp 2liq pxfunding/d
1longCASHCATperp$1,398.577,7381x cross0.18074 market0.16782 +7.15%0.19366 +7.15% · ½0.20659 +14.30% · ½-$0.42
1longCASHCATperp
notional
$1,398.57
qty
7,738
entry
0.18074 market
stop
0.16782 +7.15%
tp 1
0.19366 +7.15% · ½
tp 2
0.20659 +14.30% · ½
lev
1x cross
funding/d
-$0.42
liq px
This asset right now
mid0.1802
24h-21.08%
7d+5.74%
atr 1h3.58%
range 48h4.66%
funding apr+10.95%longs pay
open interest$45.42M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
1no wallet
hold at tp1+$100.007.15% move
ticket at tp1+$50.0050.00% of size
delta-$50.00ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
  "structure": "scalp",
  "title": "Long CASHCAT scalp, hours, normal risk",
  "legs": [
    {
      "kind": "perp",
      "coin": "CASHCAT",
      "side": "long",
      "notionalUsd": 1398.57,
      "qty": 7738,
      "leverage": 1,
      "marginMode": "cross",
      "entry": {
        "type": "market",
        "px": 0.18074
      },
      "stop": {
        "px": 0.16782,
        "pct": 7.15
      },
      "takeProfits": [
        {
          "px": 0.19366,
          "pct": 7.15,
          "sizeFrac": 0.5
        },
        {
          "px": 0.20659,
          "pct": 14.3,
          "sizeFrac": 0.5
        }
      ],
      "note": "Stop is 2x the 14-bar 1h ATR for a same-session hold (7.2% from the 0.18074 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
    }
  ],
  "riskUsd": 99.97,
  "riskKind": "max_loss",
  "horizon": "hours",
  "fundingPerDayUsd": -0.42,
  "warnings": [
    "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
  ],
  "components": [
    {
      "type": "ticket_header",
      "props": {
        "title": "Long CASHCAT scalp, hours, normal risk",
        "structure": "scalp",
        "view": "directional",
        "horizon": "hours",
        "structureFit": 1
      }
    },
    {
      "type": "market_strip",
      "props": {
        "coin": "CASHCAT",
        "mid": 0.1802,
        "atrPct1h": 3.5754,
        "fundingApr": 10.95,
        "ret24hPct": -21.08,
        "ret7dPct": 5.74,
        "rangePos48h": 0.0466,
        "betaToBtc30d": 1.882
      }
    },
    {
      "type": "leg_row",
      "props": {
        "index": 0,
        "kind": "perp",
        "coin": "CASHCAT",
        "side": "long",
        "notionalUsd": 1398.57,
        "qty": 7738,
        "leverage": 1,
        "marginMode": "cross",
        "entryType": "market",
        "entryPx": 0.18074,
        "stopPx": 0.16782,
        "stopPct": 7.15,
        "takeProfits": [
          {
            "px": 0.19366,
            "pct": 7.15,
            "sizeFrac": 0.5
          },
          {
            "px": 0.20659,
            "pct": 14.3,
            "sizeFrac": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "note": "Stop is 2x the 14-bar 1h ATR for a same-session hold (7.2% from the 0.18074 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
      }
    },
    {
      "type": "risk_box",
      "props": {
        "riskUsd": 99.97,
        "riskKind": "max_loss",
        "riskLabel": "max loss",
        "maxLossNote": "The stop at 0.16782 is 7.2% from the 0.18074 entry and costs about $99.97 if it fills (7738 x the 0.18074-0.16782 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $1,399; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
        "fundingPerDayUsd": -0.42
      }
    },
    {
      "type": "compare_hold",
      "props": {
        "note": "Versus just holding: this risks $99.97 (1.00% of a nominal. $1,399 of CASHCAT held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
      }
    },
    {
      "type": "warning",
      "props": {
        "key": "nominal_account_assumed",
        "text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
        "severity": "info"
      }
    },
    {
      "type": "hl_link",
      "props": {
        "coin": "CASHCAT",
        "url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/CASHCAT"
      }
    }
  ],
  "market": {
    "CASHCAT": {
      "coin": "CASHCAT",
      "mid": 0.1802,
      "markPx": 0.1802,
      "fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
      "oiUsd": 45424604.8056,
      "vol24hUsd": 14887670.100290004,
      "maxLeverage": 3,
      "szDecimals": 0,
      "atrPct1h": 3.575373593599599,
      "ret24hPct": -21.08259612858019,
      "ret7dPct": 5.7449680183087715,
      "rangePos48h": 0.04663305725603185,
      "hi30d": 0.31827,
      "lo30d": 0.037594,
      "betaToBtc30d": 1.882024092120985,
      "asOf": 1789867942101,
      "dex": null
    },
    "BTC": {
      "coin": "BTC",
      "mid": 81115,
      "markPx": 81115,
      "fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
      "oiUsd": 3447610574.3615,
      "vol24hUsd": 1173553095.2620206,
      "maxLeverage": 40,
      "szDecimals": 5,
      "atrPct1h": 0.32460346735521944,
      "ret24hPct": -0.7524776703780711,
      "ret7dPct": 5.0127519645793095,
      "rangePos48h": 0.8401088929219601,
      "hi30d": 82268,
      "lo30d": 68898,
      "betaToBtc30d": 1,
      "asOf": 1789867942101,
      "dex": null
    }
  },
  "reader": {
    "structureConfidence": 1,
    "alternatives": [
      {
        "structure": "scalp",
        "p": 1
      },
      {
        "structure": "swing",
        "p": 0
      }
    ],
    "trace": {
      "ms": 665,
      "input_tokens": 988,
      "answers": {
        "structure": {
          "value": "perp_scalp",
          "confidence": 1,
          "probabilities": {
            "perp_scalp": 1,
            "perp_swing": 0
          }
        },
        "warn_crowded_long": {
          "value": 0.07,
          "confidence": 0.07
        },
        "warn_low_liquidity": {
          "value": 0.49,
          "confidence": 0.49
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "numbersBy": "code",
  "compare": {
    "holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $99.97 (1.00% of a nominal. $1,399 of CASHCAT held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
  }
}
Stats
atr 1d17.52%
vs 30d high-43.38%0.31827
vs 30d low+379.33%0.037594
beta btc1.88
vol 24h$14.89M
vol / oi0.33
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes
4hprovisional2026-09-20 01:32Z → 2026-09-20 02:33Zunsigned
CASHCAT0.18012 → 0.179805
ticket p&l-$3.72of risk-3.72%hold the same net exposure-$2.45versus hold-$1.27fees-$1.26funding-$0.02
#legsidenotionalentryexitp&lclosed
0CASHCAT perplong$1,398.570.180120.179805-$3.70time
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 1.02h, not the 4h deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: CASHCAT next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts1 signed
  • thesis#152026-09-20 01:32Z7da3fe9c33c7e1b3d18e17a1…raw