the sentence2026-09-20 06:09Z
SOL runs into the weekend, I want to be long but I can't watch it, keep the risk small
Ticketlong swing
Long SOL swing, days, small risk
longSOLlong swingdirectionaldays-$50 / +$75structure: code| metric | value |
|---|---|
| max loss | $49.99 |
| deployable / total | $10,000 (nominal) |
| funding / day | -$0.22 |
| loss at stop | $50.00 |
| gap through stop | $75.00 |
| best case | +$75.00 1.50R |
| worst case | -$50.00 -1.00R |
| R:R at tp1 / tp2 | 1.00 / 2.00 |
| structure fit | code |
Proposed transactions
1longSOLperp$722.546.63 @ 108.981x cross
- notional
- $722.54
- qty
- 6.63
- entry
- 108.98 market
- stop
- 101.44 +6.92%
- tp 1
- 116.52 +6.92% · ½
- tp 2
- 124.06 +13.84% · ½
- lev
- 1x cross
- funding/d
- -$0.22
- liq px
- –
This asset right now
mid108.65
24h-2.96%
7d+6.77%
atr 1h0.94%
range 48h36.95%
funding apr+10.95%longs pay
open interest$631.21M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
2gap riskno wallet
hold at tp1+$50.006.92% move
ticket at tp1+$25.0050.00% of size
delta-$25.00ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
"structure": "swing",
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"legs": [
{
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 722.54,
"qty": 6.63,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entry": {
"type": "market",
"px": 108.98
},
"stop": {
"px": 101.44,
"pct": 6.92
},
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 116.52,
"pct": 6.92,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 124.06,
"pct": 13.84,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (6.9% from the 109 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
],
"riskUsd": 49.99,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"horizon": "days",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.22,
"warnings": [
"A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
],
"components": [
{
"type": "ticket_header",
"props": {
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"structure": "swing",
"view": "directional",
"horizon": "days",
"structureFit": null
}
},
{
"type": "market_strip",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 108.65,
"atrPct1h": 0.9416,
"fundingApr": 10.95,
"ret24hPct": -2.96,
"ret7dPct": 6.77,
"rangePos48h": 0.3695,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.0836
}
},
{
"type": "leg_row",
"props": {
"index": 0,
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 722.54,
"qty": 6.63,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entryType": "market",
"entryPx": 108.98,
"stopPx": 101.44,
"stopPct": 6.92,
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 116.52,
"pct": 6.92,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 124.06,
"pct": 13.84,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (6.9% from the 109 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
},
{
"type": "risk_box",
"props": {
"riskUsd": 49.99,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"riskLabel": "max loss",
"maxLossNote": "The stop at 101 is 6.9% from the 109 entry and costs about $49.99 if it fills (6.63 x the 109-101 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $722.54; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.22
}
},
{
"type": "compare_hold",
"props": {
"note": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.99 (0.50% of a nominal. $722.54 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "gap_risk_stops",
"text": "A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"severity": "warn"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "nominal_account_assumed",
"text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "hl_link",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/SOL"
}
}
],
"market": {
"SOL": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 108.65,
"markPx": 108.65,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 631205869.0999998,
"vol24hUsd": 179246669.75919983,
"maxLeverage": 20,
"szDecimals": 2,
"atrPct1h": 0.9416121661019614,
"ret24hPct": -2.956413004644509,
"ret7dPct": 6.770833333333326,
"rangePos48h": 0.36946902654867325,
"hi30d": 114.35,
"lo30d": 84.731,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.08363943146047492,
"asOf": 1789884565196,
"dex": null
},
"BTC": {
"coin": "BTC",
"mid": 80470,
"markPx": 80470,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 3313298360.8504,
"vol24hUsd": 1438716978.6412277,
"maxLeverage": 40,
"szDecimals": 5,
"atrPct1h": 0.4030118525590632,
"ret24hPct": -0.7547914456969451,
"ret7dPct": 4.122457429739668,
"rangePos48h": 0.670196671709531,
"hi30d": 82268,
"lo30d": 69352,
"betaToBtc30d": 1,
"asOf": 1789884565196,
"dex": null
}
},
"reader": {
"structureConfidence": -1,
"alternatives": [],
"trace": {
"ms": 298,
"input_tokens": 701,
"answers": {
"warn_crowded_long": {
"value": 0.16,
"confidence": 0.16
},
"warn_gap_risk_stops": {
"value": 0.93,
"confidence": 0.93
}
}
}
},
"numbersBy": "code",
"compare": {
"holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.99 (0.50% of a nominal. $722.54 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
}Stats
atr 1d4.61%
vs 30d high-4.98%114.35
vs 30d low+28.23%84.731
beta btc-0.08
vol 24h$179.25M
vol / oi0.28
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes1 of 3 rungs
SOL108.71 → 108.06
ticket p&l-$5.01of risk-10.02%hold the same net exposure-$4.32versus hold-$0.69fees-$0.65funding-$0.04
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $722.54 | 108.71 | 108.06 | -$4.97 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
1dprovisional2026-09-20 06:09Z → 2026-09-20 18:12Zunsigned
SOL108.71 → 109.89
ticket p&l+$7.05of risk+14.10%hold the same net exposure+$7.81versus hold-$0.76fees-$0.65funding-$0.11
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $722.54 | 108.71 | 109.89 | +$7.16 | time |
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 12.06h, not the 1d deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts2 signed