the sentence2026-09-21 01:10Z
SOL runs into the weekend, I want to be long but I can't watch it, keep the risk small
Ticketlong swing
Long SOL swing, days, small risk
longSOLlong swingdirectionaldays-$50 / +$75structure: code| metric | value |
|---|---|
| max loss | $50.01 |
| deployable / total | $10,000 (nominal) |
| funding / day | -$0.21 |
| loss at stop | $49.99 |
| gap through stop | $74.99 |
| best case | +$74.99 1.50R |
| worst case | -$49.99 -1.00R |
| R:R at tp1 / tp2 | 1.00 / 2.00 |
| structure fit | code |
Proposed transactions
1longSOLperp$704.106.22 @ 113.21x cross
- notional
- $704.10
- qty
- 6.22
- entry
- 113.2 market
- stop
- 105.16 +7.10%
- tp 1
- 121.24 +7.10% · ½
- tp 2
- 129.27 +14.20% · ½
- lev
- 1x cross
- funding/d
- -$0.21
- liq px
- –
This asset right now
mid112.86
24h+1.70%
7d+13.30%
atr 1h0.97%
range 48h81.66%
funding apr+10.95%longs pay
open interest$678.16M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
3top of rangegap riskno wallet
hold at tp1+$49.997.10% move
ticket at tp1+$25.0050.00% of size
delta-$25.00ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
"structure": "swing",
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"legs": [
{
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 704.1,
"qty": 6.22,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entry": {
"type": "market",
"px": 113.2
},
"stop": {
"px": 105.16,
"pct": 7.1
},
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 121.24,
"pct": 7.1,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 129.27,
"pct": 14.2,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (7.1% from the 113 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
],
"riskUsd": 50.01,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"horizon": "days",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.21,
"warnings": [
"Price is at the top of its 30-day range. Buying here is buying strength - the stop is far from the nearest support.",
"A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
],
"components": [
{
"type": "ticket_header",
"props": {
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"structure": "swing",
"view": "directional",
"horizon": "days",
"structureFit": null
}
},
{
"type": "market_strip",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 112.8614,
"atrPct1h": 0.966,
"fundingApr": 10.95,
"ret24hPct": 1.7,
"ret7dPct": 13.3,
"rangePos48h": 0.8166,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.4241
}
},
{
"type": "leg_row",
"props": {
"index": 0,
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 704.1,
"qty": 6.22,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entryType": "market",
"entryPx": 113.2,
"stopPx": 105.16,
"stopPct": 7.1,
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 121.24,
"pct": 7.1,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 129.27,
"pct": 14.2,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (7.1% from the 113 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
},
{
"type": "risk_box",
"props": {
"riskUsd": 50.01,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"riskLabel": "max loss",
"maxLossNote": "The stop at 105 is 7.1% from the 113 entry and costs about $50.01 if it fills (6.22 x the 113-105 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $704.10; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.21
}
},
{
"type": "compare_hold",
"props": {
"note": "Versus just holding: this risks $50.01 (0.50% of a nominal. $704.10 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "near_30d_high",
"text": "Price is at the top of its 30-day range. Buying here is buying strength - the stop is far from the nearest support.",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "gap_risk_stops",
"text": "A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"severity": "warn"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "nominal_account_assumed",
"text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "hl_link",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/SOL"
}
}
],
"market": {
"SOL": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 112.8614,
"markPx": 112.8614,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 678160485.56442,
"vol24hUsd": 299229276.1602,
"maxLeverage": 20,
"szDecimals": 2,
"atrPct1h": 0.9660239218029057,
"ret24hPct": 1.7044246192664758,
"ret7dPct": 13.304420283307739,
"rangePos48h": 0.8166268656716419,
"hi30d": 114.35,
"lo30d": 87.688,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.42406086822355193,
"asOf": 1789953033377,
"dex": null
},
"BTC": {
"coin": "BTC",
"mid": 81834,
"markPx": 81834,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 3552968944.7347198,
"vol24hUsd": 1737770535.8843398,
"maxLeverage": 40,
"szDecimals": 5,
"atrPct1h": 0.4504465105701866,
"ret24hPct": 0.6196975285872375,
"ret7dPct": 6.582443344620992,
"rangePos48h": 0.9123376623376623,
"hi30d": 82268,
"lo30d": 73651,
"betaToBtc30d": 1,
"asOf": 1789953033377,
"dex": null
}
},
"reader": {
"structureConfidence": -1,
"alternatives": [],
"trace": {
"ms": 284,
"input_tokens": 793,
"answers": {
"warn_crowded_long": {
"value": 0.45,
"confidence": 0.45
},
"warn_near_30d_high": {
"value": 0.87,
"confidence": 0.87
},
"warn_gap_risk_stops": {
"value": 0.94,
"confidence": 0.94
}
}
}
},
"numbersBy": "code",
"compare": {
"holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $50.01 (0.50% of a nominal. $704.10 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
}Stats
atr 1d4.73%
vs 30d high-1.30%114.35
vs 30d low+28.71%87.688
beta btc-0.42
vol 24h$299.23M
vol / oi0.44
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes2 of 3 rungs
SOL112.9 → 111.41
ticket p&l-$9.95of risk-19.91%hold the same net exposure-$9.29versus hold-$0.66fees-$0.63funding-$0.03
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $704.10 | 112.9 | 111.41 | -$9.92 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
SOL112.9 → 118.24
ticket p&l+$32.44of risk+64.87%hold the same net exposure+$33.30versus hold-$0.86fees-$0.65funding-$0.21
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $704.10 | 112.9 | 118.24 | +$32.65 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
7dprovisional2026-09-21 01:10Z → 2026-09-23 06:05Zunsigned
SOL112.9 → 118.61
ticket p&l+$34.47of risk+68.92%hold the same net exposure+$35.58versus hold-$1.11fees-$0.65funding-$0.46
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $704.10 | 112.9 | 118.61 | +$34.93 | time |
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 52.91h, not the 7d deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts3 signed