the sentence2026-09-20 17:07Z
SOL runs into the weekend, I want to be long but I can't watch it, keep the risk small
Ticketlong swing
Long SOL swing, days, small risk
longSOLlong swingdirectionaldays-$50 / +$75structure: code| metric | value |
|---|---|
| max loss | $49.93 |
| deployable / total | $10,000 (nominal) |
| funding / day | -$0.26 |
| loss at stop | $49.97 |
| gap through stop | $74.95 |
| best case | +$74.95 1.50R |
| worst case | -$49.97 -1.00R |
| R:R at tp1 / tp2 | 1.00 / 2.00 |
| structure fit | code |
Proposed transactions
1longSOLperp$862.987.79 @ 110.781x cross
- notional
- $862.98
- qty
- 7.79
- entry
- 110.78 market
- stop
- 104.37 +5.79%
- tp 1
- 117.19 +5.79% · ½
- tp 2
- 123.61 +11.58% · ½
- lev
- 1x cross
- funding/d
- -$0.26
- liq px
- –
This asset right now
mid110.45
24h-1.44%
7d+9.62%
atr 1h0.79%
range 48h43.97%
funding apr+10.95%longs pay
open interest$660.68M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
2gap riskno wallet
hold at tp1+$49.975.79% move
ticket at tp1+$24.9850.00% of size
delta-$24.98ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
"structure": "swing",
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"legs": [
{
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 862.98,
"qty": 7.79,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entry": {
"type": "market",
"px": 110.78
},
"stop": {
"px": 104.37,
"pct": 5.79
},
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 117.19,
"pct": 5.79,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 123.61,
"pct": 11.58,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (5.8% from the 111 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
],
"riskUsd": 49.93,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"horizon": "days",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.26,
"warnings": [
"A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
],
"components": [
{
"type": "ticket_header",
"props": {
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"structure": "swing",
"view": "directional",
"horizon": "days",
"structureFit": null
}
},
{
"type": "market_strip",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 110.45,
"atrPct1h": 0.7884,
"fundingApr": 10.95,
"ret24hPct": -1.44,
"ret7dPct": 9.62,
"rangePos48h": 0.4397,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.3514
}
},
{
"type": "leg_row",
"props": {
"index": 0,
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 862.98,
"qty": 7.79,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entryType": "market",
"entryPx": 110.78,
"stopPx": 104.37,
"stopPct": 5.79,
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 117.19,
"pct": 5.79,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 123.61,
"pct": 11.58,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (5.8% from the 111 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
},
{
"type": "risk_box",
"props": {
"riskUsd": 49.93,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"riskLabel": "max loss",
"maxLossNote": "The stop at 104 is 5.8% from the 111 entry and costs about $49.93 if it fills (7.79 x the 111-104 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $862.98; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.26
}
},
{
"type": "compare_hold",
"props": {
"note": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.93 (0.50% of a nominal. $862.98 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "gap_risk_stops",
"text": "A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"severity": "warn"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "nominal_account_assumed",
"text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "hl_link",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/SOL"
}
}
],
"market": {
"SOL": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 110.45,
"markPx": 110.45,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 660681901.78,
"vol24hUsd": 213755422.43290004,
"maxLeverage": 20,
"szDecimals": 2,
"atrPct1h": 0.7884005437245114,
"ret24hPct": -1.4367303230412243,
"ret7dPct": 9.616911472806677,
"rangePos48h": 0.4396551724137938,
"hi30d": 114.35,
"lo30d": 86.662,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.35143756129424353,
"asOf": 1789924025247,
"dex": null
},
"BTC": {
"coin": "BTC",
"mid": 81463,
"markPx": 81463,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 3408207017.74536,
"vol24hUsd": 1488723086.0098612,
"maxLeverage": 40,
"szDecimals": 5,
"atrPct1h": 0.37814816245273153,
"ret24hPct": -0.4971295957004962,
"ret7dPct": 5.446896640994114,
"rangePos48h": 0.7115800865800865,
"hi30d": 82268,
"lo30d": 72303,
"betaToBtc30d": 1,
"asOf": 1789924025247,
"dex": null
}
},
"reader": {
"structureConfidence": -1,
"alternatives": [],
"trace": {
"ms": 318,
"input_tokens": 702,
"answers": {
"warn_crowded_long": {
"value": 0.19,
"confidence": 0.19
},
"warn_gap_risk_stops": {
"value": 0.94,
"confidence": 0.94
}
}
}
},
"numbersBy": "code",
"compare": {
"holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.93 (0.50% of a nominal. $862.98 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
}Stats
atr 1d3.86%
vs 30d high-3.41%114.35
vs 30d low+27.45%86.662
beta btc-0.35
vol 24h$213.76M
vol / oi0.32
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes2 of 3 rungs
SOL110.06 → 109.96
ticket p&l-$1.60of risk-3.21%hold the same net exposure-$0.78versus hold-$0.82fees-$0.78funding-$0.04
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $862.98 | 110.06 | 109.96 | -$1.56 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
SOL110.06 → 117.79
ticket p&l+$57.20of risk+114.56%hold the same net exposure+$60.61versus hold-$3.41fees-$0.80funding-$0.26
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $862.98 | 110.06 | 117.49 | +$57.46 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
7dprovisional2026-09-20 17:07Z → 2026-09-22 21:16Zunsigned
SOL110.06 → 117.81
ticket p&l+$56.95of risk+114.05%hold the same net exposure+$60.73versus hold-$3.78fees-$0.80funding-$0.56
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $862.98 | 110.06 | 117.5 | +$57.51 | time |
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 52.16h, not the 7d deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts3 signed