the sentence2026-09-20 02:01Z
SOL runs into the weekend, I want to be long but I can't watch it, keep the risk small
Ticketlong swing
Long SOL swing, days, small risk
longSOLlong swingdirectionaldays-$50 / +$75structure: code| metric | value |
|---|---|
| max loss | $49.95 |
| deployable / total | $10,000 (nominal) |
| funding / day | -$0.30 |
| loss at stop | $49.96 |
| gap through stop | $74.95 |
| best case | +$74.95 1.50R |
| worst case | -$49.96 -1.00R |
| R:R at tp1 / tp2 | 1.00 / 2.00 |
| structure fit | code |
| reader | 279 ms |
Proposed transactions
1longSOLperp$985.488.92 @ 110.481x cross
- notional
- $985.48
- qty
- 8.92
- entry
- 110.48 market
- stop
- 104.88 +5.07%
- tp 1
- 116.08 +5.07% · ½
- tp 2
- 121.68 +10.14% · ½
- lev
- 1x cross
- funding/d
- -$0.30
- liq px
- –
This asset right now
mid110.15
24h-2.92%
7d+7.73%
atr 1h0.69%
range 48h65.59%
funding apr+10.95%longs pay
open interest$628.89M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
2gap riskno wallet
hold at tp1+$49.965.07% move
ticket at tp1+$24.9850.00% of size
delta-$24.98ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
"structure": "swing",
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"legs": [
{
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 985.48,
"qty": 8.92,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entry": {
"type": "market",
"px": 110.48
},
"stop": {
"px": 104.88,
"pct": 5.07
},
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 116.08,
"pct": 5.07,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 121.68,
"pct": 10.14,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (5.1% from the 110 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
],
"riskUsd": 49.95,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"horizon": "days",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.3,
"warnings": [
"A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
],
"components": [
{
"type": "ticket_header",
"props": {
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"structure": "swing",
"view": "directional",
"horizon": "days",
"structureFit": null
}
},
{
"type": "market_strip",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 110.1456,
"atrPct1h": 0.6898,
"fundingApr": 10.95,
"ret24hPct": -2.92,
"ret7dPct": 7.73,
"rangePos48h": 0.6559,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.1128
}
},
{
"type": "leg_row",
"props": {
"index": 0,
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 985.48,
"qty": 8.92,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entryType": "market",
"entryPx": 110.48,
"stopPx": 104.88,
"stopPct": 5.07,
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 116.08,
"pct": 5.07,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 121.68,
"pct": 10.14,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (5.1% from the 110 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
},
{
"type": "risk_box",
"props": {
"riskUsd": 49.95,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"riskLabel": "max loss",
"maxLossNote": "The stop at 105 is 5.1% from the 110 entry and costs about $49.95 if it fills (8.92 x the 110-105 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $985.48; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.3
}
},
{
"type": "compare_hold",
"props": {
"note": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.95 (0.50% of a nominal. $985.48 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "gap_risk_stops",
"text": "A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"severity": "warn"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "nominal_account_assumed",
"text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "hl_link",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/SOL"
}
}
],
"market": {
"SOL": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 110.1456,
"markPx": 110.1456,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 628893622.4941441,
"vol24hUsd": 150187158.1149,
"maxLeverage": 20,
"szDecimals": 2,
"atrPct1h": 0.6898429699555224,
"ret24hPct": -2.9212057112638745,
"ret7dPct": 7.732394366197193,
"rangePos48h": 0.6559410801964,
"hi30d": 114.35,
"lo30d": 84.017,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.11275394464958212,
"asOf": 1789869669501,
"dex": null
},
"BTC": {
"coin": "BTC",
"mid": 81108,
"markPx": 81108,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 3428970222.9873605,
"vol24hUsd": 1176154621.4902875,
"maxLeverage": 40,
"szDecimals": 5,
"atrPct1h": 0.33572529165749504,
"ret24hPct": -0.26069847515985956,
"ret7dPct": 4.947984058796129,
"rangePos48h": 0.8352504638218924,
"hi30d": 82268,
"lo30d": 68898,
"betaToBtc30d": 1,
"asOf": 1789869669501,
"dex": null
}
},
"reader": {
"structureConfidence": -1,
"alternatives": [],
"trace": {
"ms": 279,
"input_tokens": 701,
"answers": {
"warn_crowded_long": {
"value": 0.13,
"confidence": 0.13
},
"warn_gap_risk_stops": {
"value": 0.93,
"confidence": 0.93
}
}
}
},
"numbersBy": "code",
"compare": {
"holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.95 (0.50% of a nominal. $985.48 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
}Stats
atr 1d3.38%
vs 30d high-3.68%114.35
vs 30d low+31.10%84.017
beta btc-0.11
vol 24h$150.19M
vol / oi0.24
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes
4hprovisional2026-09-20 02:01Z → 2026-09-20 03:16Zunsigned
SOL110.27 → 107.69
ticket p&l-$23.91of risk-47.86%hold the same net exposure-$23.01versus hold-$0.89fees-$0.88funding-$0.02
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $985.48 | 110.27 | 107.69 | -$23.89 | time |
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 1.25h, not the 4h deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts1 signed