the sentence2026-09-21 10:33Z
SOL runs into the weekend, I want to be long but I can't watch it, keep the risk small
Ticketlong swing
Long SOL swing, days, small risk
longSOLlong swingdirectionaldays-$50 / +$75structure: code| metric | value |
|---|---|
| max loss | $49.92 |
| deployable / total | $10,000 (nominal) |
| funding / day | -$0.16 |
| loss at stop | $49.90 |
| gap through stop | $74.85 |
| best case | +$74.85 1.50R |
| worst case | -$49.90 -1.00R |
| R:R at tp1 / tp2 | 1.00 / 2.00 |
| structure fit | code |
Proposed transactions
1longSOLperp$541.814.67 @ 116.021x cross
- notional
- $541.81
- qty
- 4.67
- entry
- 116.02 market
- stop
- 105.33 +9.21%
- tp 1
- 126.71 +9.21% · ½
- tp 2
- 137.39 +18.42% · ½
- lev
- 1x cross
- funding/d
- -$0.16
- liq px
- –
This asset right now
mid115.67
24h+6.94%
7d+13.51%
atr 1h1.25%
range 48h87.07%
funding apr+10.95%longs pay
open interest$699.6M
the steps
no plan was made for this thesis — the ticket was priced on its own
Warnings & versus holding
3top of rangegap riskno wallet
hold at tp1+$49.909.21% move
ticket at tp1+$24.9550.00% of size
delta-$24.95ticket − hold
raw JSON
{
"structure": "swing",
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"legs": [
{
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 541.81,
"qty": 4.67,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entry": {
"type": "market",
"px": 116.02
},
"stop": {
"px": 105.33,
"pct": 9.21
},
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 126.71,
"pct": 9.21,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 137.39,
"pct": 18.42,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (9.2% from the 116 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
],
"riskUsd": 49.92,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"horizon": "days",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.16,
"warnings": [
"Price is at the top of its 30-day range. Buying here is buying strength - the stop is far from the nearest support.",
"A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
],
"components": [
{
"type": "ticket_header",
"props": {
"title": "Long SOL swing, days, small risk",
"structure": "swing",
"view": "directional",
"horizon": "days",
"structureFit": null
}
},
{
"type": "market_strip",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 115.67,
"atrPct1h": 1.2533,
"fundingApr": 10.95,
"ret24hPct": 6.94,
"ret7dPct": 13.51,
"rangePos48h": 0.8707,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.1729
}
},
{
"type": "leg_row",
"props": {
"index": 0,
"kind": "perp",
"coin": "SOL",
"side": "long",
"notionalUsd": 541.81,
"qty": 4.67,
"leverage": 1,
"marginMode": "cross",
"entryType": "market",
"entryPx": 116.02,
"stopPx": 105.33,
"stopPct": 9.21,
"takeProfits": [
{
"px": 126.71,
"pct": 9.21,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
},
{
"px": 137.39,
"pct": 18.42,
"sizeFrac": 0.5
}
],
"note": "Stop is 1.5x the daily ATR (the 14-bar 1h ATR scaled by sqrt(24), because this prototype only fetches 1h candles) for a days-long hold (9.2% from the 116 entry, not from the mid); targets take half the size at 1R and half at 2R."
}
},
{
"type": "risk_box",
"props": {
"riskUsd": 49.92,
"riskKind": "max_loss",
"riskLabel": "max loss",
"maxLossNote": "The stop at 105 is 9.2% from the 116 entry and costs about $49.92 if it fills (4.67 x the 116-105 gap). Cross margin at 1x posts $541.81; a gap through the stop can cost more than the stop.",
"fundingPerDayUsd": -0.16
}
},
{
"type": "compare_hold",
"props": {
"note": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.92 (0.50% of a nominal. $541.81 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "near_30d_high",
"text": "Price is at the top of its 30-day range. Buying here is buying strength - the stop is far from the nearest support.",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "gap_risk_stops",
"text": "A stop is not a guarantee. Crypto gaps through levels on weekends and around news; the fill can be far worse than the price shown.",
"severity": "warn"
}
},
{
"type": "warning",
"props": {
"key": "nominal_account_assumed",
"text": "No wallet was supplied, so every dollar figure is scaled to a nominal. Connect a wallet to size this for real. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)",
"severity": "info"
}
},
{
"type": "hl_link",
"props": {
"coin": "SOL",
"url": "https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/SOL"
}
}
],
"market": {
"SOL": {
"coin": "SOL",
"mid": 115.67,
"markPx": 115.67,
"fundingApr": 10.950000000000001,
"oiUsd": 699602979.1148002,
"vol24hUsd": 348548897.5962003,
"maxLeverage": 20,
"szDecimals": 2,
"atrPct1h": 1.2532949030621057,
"ret24hPct": 6.943417159763321,
"ret7dPct": 13.51324828263003,
"rangePos48h": 0.870662460567823,
"hi30d": 116.9,
"lo30d": 87.688,
"betaToBtc30d": -0.1728633703282225,
"asOf": 1789986838818,
"dex": null
},
"BTC": {
"coin": "BTC",
"mid": 84280,
"markPx": 84280,
"fundingApr": 43.7589156,
"oiUsd": 3576715389.380008,
"vol24hUsd": 3109292859.389378,
"maxLeverage": 40,
"szDecimals": 5,
"atrPct1h": 0.8516467305633528,
"ret24hPct": 4.845431361572428,
"ret7dPct": 7.921223141342493,
"rangePos48h": 0.7720478325859492,
"hi30d": 85500,
"lo30d": 74903,
"betaToBtc30d": 1,
"asOf": 1789986838818,
"dex": null
}
},
"reader": {
"structureConfidence": -1,
"alternatives": [],
"trace": {
"ms": 276,
"input_tokens": 706,
"answers": {
"warn_near_30d_high": {
"value": 0.89,
"confidence": 0.89
},
"warn_gap_risk_stops": {
"value": 0.93,
"confidence": 0.93
}
}
}
},
"numbersBy": "code",
"compare": {
"holdUsdcNote": "Versus just holding: this risks $49.92 (0.50% of a nominal. $541.81 of SOL held outright has no stop, no leverage and no funding. (a clause naming what the wallet holds was cut)"
}
}Stats
atr 1d6.14%
vs 30d high-1.05%116.9
vs 30d low+31.91%87.688
beta btc-0.17
vol 24h$348.55M
vol / oi0.50
the check
the reader has not checked a plan for this thesis
outcomes2 of 3 rungs
SOL115.67 → 118.55
ticket p&l+$12.97of risk+25.99%hold the same net exposure+$13.49versus hold-$0.52fees-$0.49funding-$0.03
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $541.81 | 115.67 | 118.55 | +$13.00 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
SOL115.67 → 116.53
ticket p&l+$3.38of risk+6.77%hold the same net exposure+$4.03versus hold-$0.65fees-$0.49funding-$0.16
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $541.81 | 115.67 | 116.53 | +$3.54 | time |
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
7dprovisional2026-09-21 10:33Z → 2026-09-22 20:09Zunsigned
SOL115.67 → 118.06
ticket p&l+$10.46of risk+20.95%hold the same net exposure+$11.17versus hold-$0.72fees-$0.49funding-$0.22
| # | leg | side | notional | entry | exit | p&l | closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | SOL perp | long | $541.81 | 115.67 | 118.06 | +$10.68 | time |
Provisional: the exit is the current mid after 33.60h, not the 7d deadline. Not stored, not signed, and it moves with the market.
entry basis: SOL next_open_1m; stops and targets checked on 1m bars
Counts are small and the sample is one regime; this is a record, not a forecast.
receipts3 signed